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#1 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Rocket Monopoly - United Launch Alliance » 2005-10-21 19:12:32

I admit, as a development platform, the F-22 has gotten some results, although it is questionable how much of the billions of dollars spent were well used.

However, the F-22 was built for the Cold War. The JSF has the same technologies for a fraction of the cost. The Pentagon should cancel F-22 and pour the money into JSF to keep prices per unit down.

Here is a great page if anyone wants up to date news and background on the F-22 project, it's brief and easy to read:

http://www.defensetech.org/archives/cat … watch.html

#2 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Anarchism - Anything goes » 2005-10-21 18:59:04

Anarchy would never work unless they also happen to be billionaires capable of paying their own way to Mars, paying for habitat, protection, etc. That is NEVER going to happen.

Are people suggesting that governments will simply take on the huge burden of sending people to Mars simply so they can brake off and create their own "anarchic" societies?

It seems to me that colonizing other planets always seems to bring out everbody's deepest dreams about their own "perfect society", many of which have been tried and failed, back on Earth.

#3 Re: Civilization and Culture » Children growing up on Mars - ..problems and possible solutions... » 2005-10-21 18:44:54

I think SpaceBull is seriously overestimating the "dangers" of babies growing up on Mars "because humans and mammals are not adapted to the Mars environment". I think this is the kind of abstract fear that prevents many kinds of exploration and scientific invention and discovery both on Earth and in space.

Not to mention that I'm sure if there was a possibility of a baby being born there, they would also have medical supplies and facilities for a safe birth.

Infant mortality on Mars would be a global headline and bad publicity, and any government with a Mars presence would do everything they could to prevent it.

#4 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Rocket Monopoly - United Launch Alliance » 2005-10-17 18:41:23

And now comes "Operation Offset" with Moon/Mars to be axed to pay for Katrina. Nickels and dimes compared to Iraq, DDX, JSF, etc. (ULA probably behind some of that too.)

It makes me want to pick up a Kalashnikov.

It's really unbelievable the amount they'll waste on the F-22 program for the Air Force. The development was insane and then each fighter will cost several hundred million a piece, and to make things worse they play politics and force cuts in the JSF program (fighters only 40-60 mil each) so the Air Force can afford to pay for more F-22s.

It's no wonder NASA suffers so much in America's lobby-happy political environment.

#5 Re: Human missions » China second manned launch coverage; » 2005-10-17 18:27:28

Ad Astra: you're right, they're planning to have at least one female astronaut on Shenzhou 8, I've seen that on a couple Chinese pages.

I agree about Shenzhou 7 as well, I don't know why they would wait until 2007, unless they plan on doing extensive modifications like they have between every Shenzhou mission 1 to 6. However, I've read in several places that Shenzhou 6 is pretty much the finished design, and they will just optimize it from now on.

I'm also wondering about their space station. I've read quotes from different CNSA people quoting times from "starting in 2010" to "completed by 2020." However, according to their original plans, they were going to build two space stations: an 8-ton temporary station beginning after the Shenzhou missions, and then a 20-ton permanent station after that. Hopefully there will be more announcements soon.

#6 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Test-tube babies/Gatacca? » 2005-10-17 00:22:42

Hey everyone,

I was just curious, what's the status on people being able to choose their baby's eye colour, etc? And what about trying to enhance intelligence, speed, strength etc?

Is any of this kind of research happening right now?

Just wondering, was talking with friends and the topic came up, couldn't find much online though.

#7 Re: Space Policy » Chinese Space Program? - What if they get there first » 2005-10-15 17:28:27

I would love to see China have a secret, low-budget Mars program, just to see the expression on Western faces when a smiling taikonaut is on CNN planting a Chinese flag on Martian soil (and probably a UN flag as well). lol smile

The only problem is, any Chinese Mars program that comes out of the blue might start some crazy space race that results in overspending and a poliltical firestorm, "We cannot allow a Mars program gap!"

It seems at the moment they're planning on doing a 20-ton space station and a couple lunar lander unmanned missions up until 2015-2017.

Personally, I would love to see several Mars settlements being jointly created around 2030-2040, with the US, Russia, and maybe ESA or China providing space vehicles and India, Canada, etc all coming along for the ride. We could potentially have several different joint settlements, would be pretty great I think.

#8 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Should God be Exported to Mars? » 2005-10-15 17:17:18

I think the most important thing, as mentioned by others, is to have strict separation of church and state on Mars.

These days there are so many countries and governments being influenced by special interest religious groups it blows my mind.

#9 Re: Life support systems » Martian settlement with a few hundred people » 2005-10-15 02:27:39

Very nice. Have you seen the images on the ESA website for the artists impressions of future Mars vehicles? You should check them out, maybe give you more ideas.

#10 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Companies and Mars » 2005-10-15 02:22:33

The government will get there first, but then the private companies will take over once they figure out a way to turn a profit, or even THINK they can turn a profit.

Remember, the dot.com bubble was based on future expectations, I could see the same thing happening on Mars one day: mass investment and migration, perhaps followed by a sudden crash once people realise it will take several hundred years to properly colonise and exploit the planet.

Who knows though, anything can happen I guess.

#11 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Problem with Mars government, a possible scenario » 2005-10-05 17:26:36

What I would hope would happen is that those going to Mars are doing so because they do not like what has been happening on Earth for millenia and want to start over, but this I fear is a pipe dream infused from reading the Mars Triology too many times.  LOL.

It's a nice thought, and one that many people might share with you, but unfortunately like you said it's not realistic.

There will never be a new egalitarian/communist/libertarian utopia on Mars. Governments will not spend billions of dollars to set up science stations and/or colonies just so they can turn around and say "Thanks for the money, but we're going to start our own utopia now and ignore you."

To be honest though, I don't think it's such a big deal. Mars is a different planet and will naturally develop new and unique cultures over time, regardless of whether it is based on Earth governments/politics or not.

#12 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Problem with Mars government, a possible scenario » 2005-10-03 00:56:09

People won't go off and create separate settlements for a long time because the technology won't be sufficiently reliable and services (hospitals) will be too hard to obtain.

I partially with what you're saying, but I suppose my question is taking a longer view on the whole thing. I'm making the assumption that people have the choice to move around more freely.

Also, I think even if it was difficult to move around, but not impossible, there could at least be corporate-sponsored settlements in areas that were considerd potentially lucrative. Aren't there supposed to valuable minerals and/or something to do with the nuclear power process?

#13 Re: Unmanned probes » SMART-1 - ESA lunar orbiter » 2005-09-20 19:07:25

Have they reached any conclusions on the effectiveness of the ION drive from this mission yet?

#14 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Concern about the Government.Will they allow black to go » 2005-09-20 18:59:34

Yeah man thanks i needed to hear that from someone else.I hope a 100 from now Race discrimation will be breedded out.You just dont know how bad i wont to go bro.When i seen the latest pic of a planet with a triple star system it was beautiful.Its 2007 do you think we could get there before im a Oldy

You're lucky you're young. The EU is planning to make their first manned trip to Mars around the time you're 40 years old. The US may go a bit earlier, but it depends on how much time they spend on their Moon plans.

#15 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Problem with Mars government, a possible scenario » 2005-09-20 18:53:56

If Mars successfully broke away, it would also inevitably break down and create its own countries, which may or may not receieve backing from "sister" countries on Earth.

I think that the most likely scenario is separate city-states. Some will be governed by Earthly powers (although with some autonomy) and some will be fully independent. Someone will probably try to set up a Martian UN, and they may succeed, but it will not be a planetary government. Treaties and alliances will exist between the states (perhaps they will even all agree to some sort of non-agression pact) and in some cases there may be multiple states controlled by a single government. But the states will be mostly independent of each other.

Yeah, that's kinda what I had in mind. Since there will be so much empty space on Mars for the first few generations (depending on how fast they send people from Earth to colonize), it's likely that lots of splinter groups of settlers will like to go off and find their own little bit of Mars to colonize the way they want, with the culture they want, laws, politics, etc.

However, once the populations start to get bigger, and especially if colonies start competing directly over resources, then you're going to need big planetary governments or treaties, etc.

#16 Re: Not So Free Chat » A380 airbus - monster of the skies » 2005-09-20 18:38:59

Korean Air has ordered 5 Airbus A380 aircraft, Qantas has placed an order for 12 Airbus A380, 27 freighter versions of the A-380 were sold, ILFC has ordered 5 passenger Airbus A380 aircraft and 5 freighter versions  Thai Airways International has ordered 6 Airbus A380 aircraft. India might soon buy an alternative version of the A380 which would transport almost 900 people

Be careful there, orders do not mean final sales.

I'm sure the first year or two before Boeing's 787 comes out will be fine, but once they're in direct competition we will see which plane the airlines favour. It's a good point made above that A380 could become a freighter though, I think several Asian airlines already have that in mind.

Also, I've noticed that several 787 orders have been cancelled lately because of airlines' financial problems.

#17 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri VIII » 2005-09-19 21:42:26

*I'm also worried that now when we're particularly vulnerable another terrorist strike akin to 9/11 will occur.  I've not had an alcoholic beverage in 2 months' time...but what with all this going on and concern for what's in store, I had a hit of vodka.  My nerves are rattled, frankly.

All the $ going for homeland security, Iraq, Afghanistan, now the Katrina aftermath (and yes, those people DO need the $ and help)...if another 9/11 occurs we are screwed.  I'm terribly worried for our economy.

Another swig of vodka might be in order later today.  tongue  When I get to this point...it's bad.  sad

--Cindy

Don't forget about the massively overheated real estate market that could soften or tumble any time now. And the fact that the debtload for American households is the highest it has ever been in US history because of artificially low interest rates.

The good news just keeps on coming doesn't it?

And check this out, the Cato Institute (a libertarian think tank) wants to cut NASA's budget to pay for Katrina damage.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/usatoday/200509 … squestions

#18 Re: Unmanned probes » Some of the best un-manned projects of the near future » 2005-09-19 21:15:53

Russia is to build a space launch pad in South Korea by 2007, Itar-Tass news agency reported, Russian space agency Roskosmos and Khrunichev said that a contract covering "construction of a rocket launch pad for civilian use and space exploration" was signed by both countries. South Korea's Ministry of Science and Technology said that South Korea intends to spend 13 million dollars on dispatching its first spaceman to the ISS on board the Russian space ship Soyuz.

That's interesting, I didn't know SKorea wanted to get in on the space exploration game. And wouldn't have expected them to go with the Russians, but I guess it makes sense (nervous about China, still resent Japan, EU too far away).

Chardrayaan-1 will be the first Indian Mission to the Moon and devoted to high-resolution remote sensing of the lunar surface features, Europe seems to be helping India on their Lunar mission.

Didn't know India was jumping on the bandwagon as well, certainly doesn't get any press coverage.

I'm glad to see so many countries joining the fray though. A healthy mix of both cooperation and competition is good for everyone.

#19 Re: Human missions » Realistic solutions to the difficulties of SSTO? » 2005-09-19 03:41:31

Just a question for all of you technical types. I know little about rocket dynamics, having only recently regained an interest in space exploration.

I was wondering though, what's the drag coefficient like for these different rockets and the current space shuttle they're using? Is it a big difference? Anything they could do to improve their designs in this area?

I'm a wind-tunnel/aerodynamics kind of guy myself and was wondering how much that's used in designing NASA's stuff.

#20 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Problem with Mars government, a possible scenario » 2005-09-18 23:07:24

Hello everyone, I would just like to briefly outline what I think is the most likely scenario for government on Mars and hear everyones feedback.

1) Mars science colony or colonies. At first, a US science base with perhaps some astronauts from US allied countries. EU, Russia, and China, will either be part of this first colony, create their own colonies by themselves, or join up to create rival colonies (EU and US versus Russia and China).

2) Colonisation. This is where it becomes tricky. Two propositions in mainstream debate on Earth: national governments on Mars, or unified government.

2a) Unified government. This will be more like the UN Security Council, or some other small group of the wealthy countries that funded Mars exploration. Realistically, most countries will have no say on what happens on Mars. The most powerful groups will sort out voting rights among themselves on how to make major colonisation expansion decisions.

Eventually I think the unified government will split and nationalise once Mars becomes economically productive, because people will fight over the money. In fact, it may break up even faster if their is disagreement on how fast Mars can be put to economically productive use versus scientific exploration.

2b) National governments on Mars from the start. Unlikely because people will be jealous of whoever has a headstart (most likely US). National government colonies could lead to the "Great Mars Land Grab". The US and its allies would have the advantage of a headstart. Russia and China have advantage of more decisive government models to aggressively promote, and pay for (especially China) mass colonisation of Mars. India may join in with either US or China side, depending on where it feels it could a better deal.

Eventually the national government factions would probably also lead to further factionalisation and new "countries" being declared on Mars.

3) There is also the "wild card" scenario where Mars rebels against the Earth, which would be easier under the unified government model. If Mars successfully broke away, it would also inevitably break down and create its own countries, which may or may not receieve backing from "sister" countries on Earth.

#21 Re: Mars Society International » Zubrin's Vile Ideology - Should He Still Be MS Leader? » 2005-09-18 22:10:32

I just read the Case for Mars last month and it really changed my perspective: I've always been interested in space exploration in theory, but I'm very cynical about NASA and all of its waste and, until recently, lack of direction.

Reading the Case for Mars really re-energised my enthusiasm and I'd like to thank Zubrin for that one day.

However, I must agree that Zubrin' book has some serious American-style "explorer" mentality bias. I don't agree with the original poster that Zubrin should step down or anything, but I think Zubrin needs to be able to handle potential criticisms in that area if the Mars Society expects to sell the Mars missions to the public at large.

As someone who is not American, I can tell you that part of me really recoiled reading Zubrin's "frontier" justification for exploring Mars. The problem is not what he wants to do, I just think he should not use American-style metaphors if he expects to appeal to anyone outside the US and/or people in the US who are sensitive to those kind of justifications.

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