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#1 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Mars Dogleg - Phobos refueling station » 2005-03-04 00:16:46

Phobos and Deimos are useful, but not as useful as one might think

There's a LOT of difference between 5.5km/sec (Mars to Phobos) and 7km/sec (Mars to Earth) in terms of fuel.  You'd have to have roughly 4.5 times as much fuel in the Mars ascent vehicle to go direct from Mars surface to Earth, vs to just get to Phobos!

The difference coming from Earth is also pretty significant.  With Mars-direct style aerobraking,  2.9km/sec to LMO vs 2.5km/sec to Phobos means about a 50% increase in starting fuel mass - and that's fuel mass that has to be lugged up from Earth if you're not sending fuel from Phobos, and it ignores any increase in fuel needed to bring along the aerobrake.  And at least for the manned landings on Mars, using rockets instead of aerobraking seems more sensible.

The difference gets even more significant if your suggestion for using a Phobos transit orbit can be used on the way to Mars.  Guessing 2km/s from Earth to such an orbit, the fuel for Earth to LMO is about 2.5x greater.  That big a change could make the difference between needing a new heavy lift launch system and using an existing launch system, even assuming the fuel is brought up from Earth in both cases.

#2 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Super Sail to Mars - Boiling paint with microwaves » 2005-02-01 21:32:31

Sounds like a good way to launch a space probe of some kind - one way trip. 

One oddity - they don't mention payload mass, but are very specific about the sail size and beam size and energy required.

#3 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Mars Dogleg - Phobos refueling station » 2005-01-23 22:59:17

Actually, it appears to be pretty commonly assumed that Phobos has a lot of ice. 

For example, read http://www.androidpubs.com/Chap10.htm]this information on Phobos' density.

#4 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Mars Dogleg - Phobos refueling station » 2005-01-23 17:52:31

If Phobos turns out to have ice as a high fraction of it's composition, might it be beneficial to use an automated ice-mining/fuel production system there to fill a tank for Mars return?

#5 Re: Planetary transportation » The Methane Based Economy - Exploring Mars in a Reusable Manner » 2004-12-22 12:09:44

At around 10cubic meters per 100km of 1cm tubing, It might be smarter to just make a good big tank on wheels?  One of the first chores would be to fetch the tank.  Less chance of a micrometeor hit too, at a few square meters vs about 10000 sq-m.

#6 Re: Planetary transportation » Running on Compressed Air? » 2004-11-26 19:24:54

Probably quoted elsewhere here, but related to the discussion of liquid CO2 for propulsion - Zubrins]http://www.universetoday.com/am/publish/mars_gashopper.html]Zubrin's Grasshopper

#7 Re: Planetary transportation » Bikes on Mars? - Don't laugh! » 2004-11-25 00:29:17

While the pumping action of a bike might be difficult for someone in a space suit, we could go back to the ancient form of bike - just a couple of wheels and a seat, no pedals.  More like a scooter - give a push and let it roll.

Or maybe incorporate a more suitable (no pun intended) pumping mechanism - say a rocker, so the rider just shifts weight from front to back to pump it up and down - far smaller movement of each joint.  Attach the rocker directly to the rear wheel axle for extreme simplicity, or through a bit of gearing if necessary for proper mechanical advantage and speed.

#8 Re: Planetary transportation » Running on Compressed Air? » 2004-11-24 16:51:55

The hitch-on pressurized trailer is smart - allowing using the tractor for other purposes around base or out exploring.  With all the power systems in the "tractor", the trailer can be relatively light - a multi-layer inflatable structure perhaps.  That keeps it compact for transport but fast to set up.

A hybrid engine might be a good solution to the heat issue - you're going to need a heat source anyhow, so carry a modest amount of carbon and the O2 to burn it.  Use that to heat the CO2 above it's (very low) evaporation point, and the CO2 to run the engine.  (Using a hydrocarbon based fuel seems wasteful of hydrogen, which will probably be in somewhat short supply.)

There would need to be small but strong boilers for warming CO2 - but the dry ice can be kept in relatively light tanks - or even just a well insulated cupboard, with the explorers manually moving bricks over to an expansion tank when it runs out of gas.

Heh - I'm getting an image of a future Martian railroad, with the fireman tossing logs of CO2 into the boiler and logs of charcoal into the firebox.

#9 Re: Planetary transportation » Running on Compressed Air? » 2004-11-24 00:31:40

RE: Rover weight - no doubt an enclosed exploration rover will need to be much larger than the aircar - but the CO2 storage could be scaled up as well.  And while a Mars vehicle will need more massive construction than the AirCar, gravity is 1/3 Earth, which should help considerably.

While the Aircar stores compressed air at 300barr (~300x atmospheric pressure), there's probably no reason to store the CO2 at super-high pressure - store dry ice in insulated tanks at maybe 10atm pressure, so that as it warms up, it just melts, allowing liquid CO2 to be pumped off to a higher pressure expansion-warming chamber - perhaps directly into the engine itself.

A method to avoid the "rocket effect" of a tank puncture: the tank will be protected by insulation, but in case something does puncture it, surround the tank with an outer perforated metal "diffuser" shell, to spread and slow the expanding gas.

#10 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Sonic diamond nano-notch rocket - Better than ion engines? » 2004-10-31 03:39:44

Problems I see with it:
-Difficulty in making it big enough for useful thrust
-Difficulty in getting it to withstand extended use even at extreme temperature
-Difficulty in reloading with LH2 between cavity cycles
-Difficulty in getting the diamond to withstand LH2 exposure for extended periods

It might push your rocket, but I think it has a tall list of things against it.

There are two possible types of objections:  objections from physics, and objections from engineering.  These are mostly engineering issues - they may prove difficult (or easy) to overcome, but the only way to tell is to try to design a specific system and analyze/test it.

Objections from physics would, if properly done, kill the concept outright - e.g. if the scheme tried to produce more thrust than a given amount of reaction mass and energy allowed.  I'd say that it's more useful at this point to look at possible physics objections - but:

- big enough - ion engines also produce relatively tiny thrust - the point is to produce as much thrust with as little mass as possible, for maximum delta V on long flights.
- extreme temperatures - I've done no study of this - but one reason to use diamond is to be able to rapidly conduct away waste heat.
- reloading LH2 - really detailed technical issue.  You might as well say that pumping fuel and oxidizer into the high pressure chamber of a rocket poses a problem - of course it does, but there are technical solutions.  One simple approach - the rear of the notch, when it is fully expanded, opens onto a high pressure source of LH2, admitting a small droplet, and then closes off before the larger end of the notch, trapping the droplet.
- Diamond withstanding LH2 - I would expect diamond to react with LH2 at the surface, creating a hydrated (correct term?) boundary layer.  If pressure rips some hydrogens away from that surface, the next cycle will probably replace them.  On the other hand, if the hydrogen does NOT react with the diamond, that's probably almost as good, as it means there'd be no chemical modification of the notch surface, leaving the issue of potential mechanical ablation of the carbon.

I'm more concerned with a physics issue - can the notch possibly be made to close suddenly rapidly enough?  Having a high speed of sound doesn't help if the sound is 1hz (no matter how powerful) and takes a full second to close and open the notch.  Some sort of instantaneous impulse - like that of hitting it with a hammer - is more likely to create the desired effect - but that would likely waste most of the input energy as heat.

Piezo-electrics?  Someone suggested Surface Acoustic Wave devices - but I'm not familiar enough with the benefits of those to comment.  To me it looks like SAW technology just looks like it is supposed do signal filtering / conversion - perhaps the idea is to convert a powerful high frequency signal into an acoustic square wave pulse?

#11 Re: Life support systems » Fast Airlock - Form-fitting, hydraulic airlock » 2004-08-03 00:26:57

Rxke - the car wash is a very nice idea - it's value is clearly independent of the airlock type.

CM Edwards: my thoughts on moving things in/out of the hab were several - small amounts of tools can be carried in the inflatable bags - those bags not only allow a reduced volume on re-entry, but allow a variable volume of material to move out with the explorer.   

Samples will almost certainly have to be moved in a special lock to work bays, keeping them separate from the Hab environment.

Larger parts or tools that need to move in or out might use a separate lock with airbags that actually inflate and deflate, using a cylinder/piston arrangement, or perhaps a conventional airlock with vacuum pump.  But for the explorer's lock I wanted something very quick, with near zero mechanical parts to break down, that could be very quickly repaired.   Explorers need to be able to  move as freely as possible in and out of the Hab, for fast reaction times in the event of an emergency if nothing else.

Along the same lines, I'm hoping that exploration suits will be designed that do not require a pre-breathing decompression period.   Suiting up will be tedious enough, without that.

-edit- sorry for any confusion: Timeslicer == Twinbeam

#12 Re: Intelligent Alien Life » One question, what would it be? - Contact with an ET, what would you ask? » 2004-07-07 01:11:57

"Would you please tell us, as clearly as you can, and considering how long we will have waited for the answer, what you think is most important for us to know?"

No matter how they answer - with a joke, or a sermon or a scientific treatise, it'll tell us a lot about them.

#13 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Space elevator in the media - déjà vu? » 2004-07-07 00:36:00

As to the pros and cons,
You'll always loose some energy to the atmosphere. A lake won't help you concentrate the beam, that's a matter of transmitter size on the sat. Direct conversion can recieve high power/area consentration anyway. No, planes won't fly though, but there are many places where planes can't fly. A few more won't be hard to add to the navigation systems. Birds is an issue. Wind farms have reciently illustrated the need not to place obstructions on migration routes. And normal glass probably won't cut it, not if you want it to work at pressures high enough to turn turbines.

I agree that the CONs seem weaker than the PROs.  What I'm not sure of is whether this approach would in some way be better than conventional space solar power concepts, or an equal area of ground solar cells.  The main advantages seem to be that it uses cheaper materials in the collector and has built in energy storage.  So if you had a city that used solar power to run things during the day, you could use a system like this to provide power at night, without needing to use electricity to pump water up the mountain at a considerable additional energy loss.

I would not expect it to use steam pressure to turn turbines - the main proposal is simply to let the hot moist air rise up a mountain through convection, cool off, condense, and fill a lake for hydropower production.

#14 Re: Human missions » Europe goes to the moon and Mars! - Human space flight.... » 2004-07-05 22:45:52

Personal preference - we've been to the moon in my lifetime.  I'd settle for a flags/footprints/exploration/sample-return mission to Mars at this point.  Mars Direct provides that.  But I don't trust NASA to do it.

Based on past NASA performance, what will happen if we go with GWB's "vision" is this: 

NASA will spend a decade planning the moonbase and restoring our manned launch capabilities to where it was in 1970 (but nowhere near as safe or sensible as it could be done).  Then we'll spend a decade or more building the moonbase and futzing around doing "science experiments" and "exploration" that give the impression that the moonbase is useful for something.   And then we'll wake up after 25-30 years and realize that it's gotten us no closer to having infrastructure or technologies useful for getting us to Mars cheaper or faster or safer.

NASA has wasted 30 years of my life on the shuttle and ISS, in the sense that those were 30 years in which I COULD have see a moonbase established or men on Mars.  I certainly don't trust that they'll make it to Mars in what remains of my lifespan.   Given that politics drives their budget, maybe not even the moonbase.

I say - reward competence and punish incompetence.  Shut down the shuttle.  Give our share of the ISS to anyone who wants it, provided only that they'll keep it from crashing to Earth.  Pay NASA to keep doing research and developing and operating space probes like the Mars rovers, at about the same rate as today.  Pay for commercial launch of whatever NASA has to put into space. 

The rest of what was NASA's budget should accumulate every year in a prize fund with USEFUL goals - especially goals that will have commercial value once the R&D are paid for, if only to help companies win other prizes. 

That'll get us to the moon and Mars and beyond much sooner than giving the job to NASA, and it'll end up establishing technologies and infrastructure to make access to space far less costly.

#15 Re: Human missions » Cloth Diapers - Yes...you heard me right -- Diapers. » 2004-07-05 20:57:56

Apacas and Llamas, domesticated for over 5,000 years for their fibres, don't seem to have been mentioned so far--not as smelly as goats

Don't take anything along that might eat the walls! big_smile

Eventually brick buildings would allow such.  Stick with fish and turtles to start - small, not too picky about what they eat, but they can't get away and get into places where they might cause trouble.

#16 Re: Human missions » Another opinion of the Space elevator - Questioning the sanity of the Space Elev » 2004-07-05 20:51:03

BTW - if you want something with a REALLY high giggle factor (i.e., FAR less analysis than the space elevator) :

http://www.halfbakery.com/idea/polar_5f … r_5fbeanie   smile

This would be a good complement to using space elevators to launch cargo to orbit, as it is more suitable for launching human beings (shorter time to orbit, less time spent in the van Allen radiation belts, no need for laser power to the out-going vehicles).

I used to have a link to a more serious site by someone else, but now I can't find it.

#17 Re: Human missions » Another opinion of the Space elevator - Questioning the sanity of the Space Elev » 2004-07-05 20:16:47

Sigh - 5 seconds with google yielded this:   
http://www.isr.us/Downloads/niac_pdf/ch … ter10.html
  roll  It even addresses the ionosphere issue, which obviously 'Ted' thought was his strong suit, since he led with it.  He should spend 5 minutes on that site, then drop the issue and go back to perusing his usual UFO sites/conspiracy theory sites.

I took part in a discussion forum Edwards previously helped organize - disbanded when Edwards got a new position with potential to support his work.  All of Ted's "problems" were raised and dismissed along with many more - including a few that Edwards found interesting, but ultimately was able to dismiss.

BTW - the moon isn't a very good candidate for a space elevator - it rotates far slower, so the cable would have to be much longer even though it's gravity is much lower.  There are much better launch options for the moon.

Mars is technically a pretty good candidate - lower gravity, almost the same angular velocity as earth.  Phobos could be dodged relatively easily - it's just a more extreme form of the "space debris" issue.  But until we decide we're going there to stay it won't make economic sense.

The biggest problem with a space elevator is making it economically viable.  You need a lot of modest sized cargos worth hauling into space.  But if a government footed the bill for the first elevator (for the military) it'd make building additional elevators and doing anything in space far less expensive. 

While I don't advocate this, my guess is that - if feasible - the first elevator will be built by some government-military-industry collaboration to support military/intelligence applications, but offering commercial orbiting services as well.

#18 Re: Human missions » Euro version of Mars Direct - Thoughts? » 2004-06-27 11:25:25

Look at that paper again.  The real costs are in the development of the stuff you'd take into space or to the moon or Mars.  That's the real reason why you prefer one launch - to cut out the massive added costs entailed in designing ten things that launch separately and have to be put together in space.

But why not take that logic further?  The important question isn't "how do we get stuff into space cheaper?" (if it's worth sending something into space, the launch costs aren't an impossible obstacle).  The important question is "how do we get development costs down?"   

It is true that if we did have a really cheap way into space, development costs would fall radically.  But why?  Because we could build something, take it into space, test it, see how it fails, fix it, and launch again.   That's the approach being used by Armadillo Aerospace, BTW.

Since we do NOT have a cheap way into space, the next best alternative plan would be to get into space and stay there building and testing things. 

Oh hey - like a space station!   We have woefully failed to make proper use of the space station - frittering away that massive investment on "science experiments".  (Heard of any big breakthroughs as a result of all that 'valuable' science?   I haven't.  Heck, NASA scientists are even still complaining that they don't know enough about the effects of long-term zero-G on astronauts for a trip to Mars.  You'd think they'd have THAT figured out by now, if anything.)

The ISS should have been a machine shop for assembling and building and testing experimental space systems.  I say we give John Carmack NASA (with budget), the ISS and shuttles, and see if he can get to the Moon or Mars.

The same logic applies to a Mars mission.  Instead of trying to research all the factors that will affect a Mars exploration rover and design a rover that will not fail, design a plausible first cut at it that can be easily modified, send it to Mars, and send along skilled engineer/machinists who can "fix it til it works", with the support of scientists and engineers back on earth as needed.  Let the planetary exploration scientists follow a few years later, after some infrastructure has been built for them.

#19 Re: Space Policy » President of India calls for joint - US/Indian habitat on Mars by 2050 » 2004-06-27 10:33:22

Sorry, I should have thought of that. And what does that make a Blue?

I think a "Blue" would be someone who is willing to completely re-arrange the mass of the solar system according to human best interests.  The name would derive from the (presumed) need to import truly massive amounts of hydrogen to Mars in order to create oceans there - and of course that H2 has to come from somewhere else. 

Red- The solar system is beautiful as it is, and humans should not disturb it.
Green- If we modify the planets to be more livable for humans, they'll be even more beautiful - with much of the original beauty preserved.
Blue- It's all just matter and energy, folks!  We can rearrange it to suit ourselves!

#20 Re: Human missions » Dream Lottery - A crooked scam for getting to Mars... » 2004-06-27 09:56:49

Of course, there IS this little problem:

http://www.gambling-law-us.com/Federal- … law.htm]US gambling laws

Interesting to note that it isn't the lottery itself that appears to be illegal - it's any form of promotion or supporting communication other than word of mouth that appears to be illegal.  I believe it's worded so that even if you ran the lottery from another country, participants would technically be breaking the law if they used the mail or internet even to find out about it. 

There is a loop-hole for states.  So maybe one could get a license to run such a lottery for a state. 

But IANAL so don't take my word for it!  smile

#21 Re: Human missions » Euro version of Mars Direct - Thoughts? » 2004-06-26 14:07:31

The document has good examples of mission costs.  One observation - development costs are obviously about an order of magnitude higher than procurement costs.

Anything that reduces the R&D costs will contribute greatly to making Mars missions more feasible. 

The Mars Society's efforts on that score are noteworthy.

#22 Re: Not So Free Chat » You are Dictator - of a troublesome Third World country » 2004-06-22 00:18:39

If I were dictator - I'd:

0) Write a constitution preventing all levels of government from interfering with a few fundamental rights and a few contingent rights, and tightly specifying the powers of national government - especially limiting exercise of military power other than in defense.

1) Create a national military loyal to the Constitution, rather than to me.   Shoot any officers who violate this.

2) Break the nation up into a reasonable number of regions that - so long as they sustain some honest form of democracy and respect the constitutional rights of their people - would have minimal interference from me.  Interfere instantly and severely with any that don't.  Encourage the people of these regions to allow even more freedom than the Constitution requires.


Space doesn't come into it until AFTER I retire in favor of the newly elected President and council of regional leaders, none of which could be me, as required by my Constitution. 

As my final act as El Presidente, I would order myself frozen for 30 years, during which time my small nation would become one of the richest places on earth and I would become known as the Beloved Founder.  Upon thawing out, I'd suggest that my grateful nation use their wealth and the much advanced technology of the day to send me and 10000 eager volunteers out to the space frontier.

#23 Re: Human missions » The Case Against Mars - Why Mars is not a good target! » 2004-06-21 22:38:39

A http://msnbc.msn.com/id/5123481/]space tug will do more to get us permanently into space than GWB's "vision".   

The GWB moon base proposal, without the benefits the space tug and successive developments will bring, would probably run like Zeno's paradox - the further it progressed, the more it'd cost to keep it operating - until eventually it'd stall, doing little but eating money, like the ISS before it. 

The more advanced space tugs and related hardware gets, they more value they'll produce, and they more they'll justify launching more advanced hardware.

#24 Re: Interplanetary transportation » The Myth of Heavy Lift - (Let the fight begin...) » 2004-06-20 00:31:06

I thought that the most on-point comment in the article was that we have excess launch capacity that would work just fine for launching cargo, and we should use it.

If we're going to design and build any new vehicle - especially on the tight budget Bush has planned - let's put the effort into making a safe but reasonably inexpensive human launch/return system. 

For safety, it should have a single high reliability engine per stage.  Ideally it should be a single stage, so if it can launch, it'll probably make it to orbit.  Inefficient, but safer - less to inspect, less to go wrong, and some of the things that can go wrong won't be as disastrous (e.g. if the one engine doesn't fire).

There should be safe abort options throughout 100% of the flight - from boarding through landing.   Launch little more than crew and plenty of air in a capsule designed to handle re-entry.   It needs an emergency rocket eject system, and perhaps that can double as a back-up de-orbiting system - just enough to bring them down into thicker atmosphere where their orbit will eventually decay, if they have no other options.

Fly everything else ahead of time and check it out on orbit before the humans lift off - even the rocket needed to do a normal de-orbit.  Have a spare de-orbit rocket standing by to launch if needed.

#25 Re: Human missions » One-way ticket - An obvious cost cutting step » 2004-06-19 22:50:47

Why not plan a one-way colonization mission to Mars?

Take Zubrin's plan to the next step - send a fuel and air factory, but also send a food factory, able to produce simple sugars or starches from scratch.  Send along plants and fish grown from eggs in robot tended container farms.  (Test a variety of animals at Mars gravity in a spinning orbital lab. )  Send plenty of spare equipment and tools to let colonists make just about anything. 

When it's all working well, send humans TO STAY, with a lifetime-financed support staff on Earth to provide them with information and advice.  And of course resupply missions can be launched every few years - or if they're doing fine, send more people.

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